TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for a specific date. The result depends solely on the final score after the regular period of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The possible results are a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bolton vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bolton wins, the 'Bolton' market resolves to Yes. If Stoke wins, the 'Stoke' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to take the other side of a bet. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Bolton vs Stoke match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard, providing insights into market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bolton vs Stoke match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Bolton or Stoke could significantly shift expectations. Match previews and expert analysis released in the days leading up to the game may also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, especially if they signal informed opinions about the likely result of the Bolton vs Stoke match.