TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Bolton and Bristol City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regulation time.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Bolton vs Bristol City EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Bolton winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bolton winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bristol City winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bristol City winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual trading activity and the evolving opinions of individuals wagering on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies relative to traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected spread in the Bolton vs Bristol City match. The market’s efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Bolton vs Bristol City match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and the final score. Furthermore, significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders anticipate potential market movements.