TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of the EFL Championship soccer match between Bolton and Bristol City on October 31, 2026. Markets exist for Bolton winning, Bristol City winning, and the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Bolton and Bristol City scheduled for October 31, 2026, with resolution based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible match outcomes: Bolton win, Bristol City win, or a tie. All markets share common secondary rules addressing scenarios where the game is tied at the end of regulation time, which triggers the 'Tie' market to resolve as Yes. Additionally, if the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform-specific procedures. The event explicitly states no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 31, 2026, 15:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Limitless may diverge due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Kalshi and Limitless attract different types of traders, each bringing unique information and perspectives to the market. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $134,630 overall—can influence price discovery. Lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the observed differences in how each platform assesses the probabilities surrounding the Bolton vs Bristol City match.