TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a football match where two competing teams aim to score goals within the standard playing time, including any added stoppage time at the end of each half. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the back of the net during this regulated period. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of each side in a high-stakes contest.
If Bologna and Monza both score a goal in the Bologna vs Monza Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the chance of both teams scoring, they may drive up the price on Kalshi, creating a discrepancy. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's strong public sentiment or insider information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Bologna vs Monza match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Bologna and Monza score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The outcome will be based on the final scoreline reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on Kalshi will be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the verified result of the Bologna vs Monza fixture.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bologna or Monza would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s attacking prowess or defensive weaknesses could also cause movement. A significant shift in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert predictions, could also affect the volume and price within this market.