TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:07 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Serie A match between Bologna (BOL) and Monza (MON), scheduled for 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC. - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BOL and MON options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
This market refers to the Serie A match between Bologna (BOL) and Monza (MON), scheduled for 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC. - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MON: If Monza wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BOL and MON options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes, though this market represents a unique forecast independent of traditional bookmakers.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds can shift rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment. Currently, the most favored outcome, according to traders, is Monza wins, though the implied probability is subject to change with every trade.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Bologna vs Monza match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative data.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Bologna or Monza could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant news impacting team morale, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions on the match outcome.