TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bologna will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Monza. Currently, Kalshi gives Bologna a win probability of 82.0%, while a tie is priced at 14.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result of the Bologna vs Monza professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 31, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Bologna vs Monza professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; a 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level. The markets do not consider results from extra time, penalty shootouts, or rescheduled dates beyond 48 hours, in which case prices will be resolved fairly. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Lega Serie A or the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analysts’ predictions, as they incentivize informed participation. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely result of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bologna vs Monza match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. Traders are essentially betting against each other, creating a market-driven forecast, and the current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Bologna vs Monza match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process focuses on establishing the definitive outcome of the match based on publicly available information. This ensures a transparent and verifiable conclusion to this market, allowing for accurate settlement of all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about managerial decisions or team strategies could also cause movement. Furthermore, the performance of either team in their preceding matches, or any significant shifts in public perception, could all contribute to changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 31, 2026.