TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in the Bologna versus Inter match, allowing bettors to speculate on whether either team will win by a substantial margin. Outcomes hinge on the relative performance of both teams' offenses and defenses during the game.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Bologna or Inter wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Bologna requires wins exceeding 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Inter requires wins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi emphasizes no official league affiliation, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public, and as new information emerges, this market can react faster than traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations for the Bologna vs Inter match. This dynamic process determines the market price and provides a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Bologna vs Inter match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing body of the league. Any adjustments or official rulings related to the match will be taken into account to ensure an accurate and fair resolution of this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final spread.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Bologna or Inter would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even controversies surrounding the teams could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.