TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between Bologna and Inter Milan. Users are betting on whether Bologna, Inter Milan, or a draw will occur specifically within the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than FC Internazionale Milano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Internazionale Milano" if FC Internazionale Milano score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 score more goals than FC Internazionale Milano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bologna FC 1909 and FC Internazionale Milano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Internazionale Milano" if FC Internazionale Milano score more goals than Bologna FC 1909 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly when a large volume of trading occurs, currently at $0. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often easier for the average person to understand. Both offer valuable perspectives on the potential outcome of this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Bologna vs. Inter second half. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket may have more active traders focused on this specific market, leading to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the platforms have different user interfaces and fee structures, which can influence trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the various outcomes.