TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 7:06 PM EST
Kalshi
The Bolivia versus Gambia match will be evaluated for the total goals scored during the standard 90-minute regulation period plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The thresholds increase progressively across different market lines.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Bolivia vs Gambia professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified threshold of goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5) is exceeded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Bolivia vs Gambia match. The market’s price discovery process allows for a collective forecast to emerge, driven by the diverse perspectives of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Bolivia vs Gambia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association. The number of total goals scored in regulation time will determine which contracts pay out, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and payout information on Kalshi following the match’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bolivia or Gambia would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could shift expectations. Finally, even general sentiment and public discussion surrounding the match’s potential for goals could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.