TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group centers around the college football game between Boise State and Washington State, offering a wide array of markets including the game winner, point spreads, over/under totals for points and team performance, and various period-specific outcomes. These markets allow users to predict specific aspects of the game's result.
In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Washington State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Washington State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by individuals betting with their own capital, aiming to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more efficient odds, particularly when there's disagreement or information asymmetry. While sportsbooks are convenient, this market provides a unique perspective based on collective intelligence and can potentially reveal insights missed by conventional oddsmakers.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Washington State at 100%, while Predict leans toward Boise State vs. Washington State. These discrepancies highlight how differing opinions and market dynamics can create price variations, even for the same underlying event. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these differences.