TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Boise State and Washington State. It focuses solely on the performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Boise State vs Washington State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Washington State scores more points in that quarter, the Washington State market resolves to Yes. If Boise State scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the 4th quarter of regulation play are counted; overtime points are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying motivations of participants. If there's a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might suggest the market perceives something differently than the public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is a 4th quarter tie, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 4th quarter of the Boise State vs. Washington State game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier parts of the game could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.