TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points Boise State and Washington State will score together in the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each market has a different threshold, determining whether the combined fourth-quarter scoring exceeds that level.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the combined fourth-quarter scoring, with each market having a distinct point threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions impacting the game. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter total points. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Over' outcome occurring. A price of 50 suggests a 50% chance, while a price of 70 suggests a 70% chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s trades, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Boise State vs. Washington State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be used to determine whether the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Boise State or Washington State would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift expectations. Finally, even public sentiment and media narratives surrounding the game’s potential scoring could contribute to fluctuations in the market price.