TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two college football teams specifically within one quarter of play. It focuses on how much one team outscores the other during that defined period, providing insight into potential momentum shifts or strategic advantages in a single segment of the game.
The event resolves based on whether Boise State or Washington State achieves a specified point differential victory margin exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must lead at the end of the second quarter to settle as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting an equitable adjustment rather than a definitive win or loss outcome. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these resolutions.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to differing odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second quarter of the Boise State vs. Washington State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boise State or Washington State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment and affect the spread. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity.