TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Boise State and Washington State. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by either team to resolve as a win.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Boise State vs Washington State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the second half by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the game's outcome. Frequently, you’ll see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather conditions, than traditional sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of each team covering the spread, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders regarding the Boise State vs. Washington State second-half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Boise State vs. Washington State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by the relevant sporting authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout status shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Boise State or Washington State teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed through social media and sports news outlets, could drive volume and price changes in this market. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first half could also lead to substantial shifts.