TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Boise State and Washington State. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final game result. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market still applies; otherwise, it settles at a fair price.
The market resolves based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Boise State versus Washington State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Washington State leads after the first half, the 'Washington St.' outcome settles as Yes. If Boise State leads after the first half, the 'Boise St.' outcome settles as Yes. If the teams are tied after the first half, the 'Tie' outcome settles as Yes. For postponements, if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official first half result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. All outcomes consider only points scored during the first half, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks belonging to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin into their odds. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome, leading to a potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially influence the market, differences can emerge as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to own one unit of a contract, which pays out a fixed amount if the corresponding outcome is realized. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the official result of the first half winner of the Boise State vs. Washington State game. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the outcome, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Boise State or Washington State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed individuals could signal a change in expectations and drive price fluctuations.