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Boise St. vs Fresno St.: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Boise St. vs Fresno St.?

Volume:
$4,483,948

Boise St. wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$766,392
N/A
N/A
$589,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,210
N/A
N/A
$50,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,228
N/A
N/A
$36,742
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,674
N/A
N/A
$28,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,671
N/A
N/A
$28,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,877
N/A
N/A
$13,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,058,655
N/A
N/A
$509,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531,907
N/A
N/A
$252,812
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457,070
N/A
N/A
$201,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321,038
N/A
N/A
$156,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285,816
N/A
N/A
$100,011
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,723
N/A
N/A
$110,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246,379
N/A
N/A
$127,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,073
N/A
N/A
$48,878
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,384
N/A
N/A
$24,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,894
N/A
N/A
$16,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,977
N/A
N/A
$20,188
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,127
N/A
N/A
$19,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,102
N/A
N/A
$12,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,741
N/A
N/A
$9,583
Settled
No
kalshi

Boise St. wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,725
N/A
N/A
$5,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,237
N/A
N/A
$4,825
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,184
N/A
N/A
$5,615
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,116
N/A
N/A
$3,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,995
N/A
N/A
$5,902
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Boise State will win their football game against Fresno State by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 92.0% probability to Boise State winning by over 2.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of October 10, 2026, based on the final score.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Boise State vs Fresno State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Boise State wins by the exact point margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as a loss, as the conditions require a win by more than the stated margin. For markets where Fresno State is the specified winner, the same logic applies inversely. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Boise State vs Fresno State spread tracks the current price of the market, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to own a share predicting the outcome. You can also view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $4,118,016. Total volume for this market is $4,483,948. This provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and activity surrounding the game's point spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the continuous flow of information and trader reactions. Sportsbooks initially set lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as more people trade, incorporating a wider range of data and opinions. It’s common to see this market move closer to the final spread as the game approaches, potentially offering insights beyond traditional betting odds. However, discrepancies can still exist due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final point spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, breaking news, and shifts in sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. The current price represents the aggregated view of all traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Boise State vs Fresno State football game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of the ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for payout calculations. Traders holding shares predicting the correct spread will receive a payout, while those predicting the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either Boise State or Fresno State would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as large trading volume from informed participants, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.