TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing exclusively on the 4th quarter performance without considering overtime periods. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the potential outcome of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract price at resolution will determine payouts to traders who held contracts predicting the correct outcome, based on the final total points scored in the 4th quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Boise St. or Fresno St. would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they significantly impact scoring potential, could also shift the market. Additionally, in-game performance during the first three quarters, and any adjustments to team strategy, could all influence traders' beliefs and lead to price fluctuations in this market as they react to unfolding events.