TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:23 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Boise State and Fresno State specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the points scored in that quarter, ignoring the rest of the match outcome.
The event evaluates whether Boise State or Fresno State achieves a specified point differential victory during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must lead at the end of the third quarter, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or completion.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the Boise State vs Fresno State game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third quarter spread of the Boise State versus Fresno State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts will pay out based on the actual spread achieved during the third quarter of the game, with payouts corresponding to the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boise State or Fresno State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift sentiment. Finally, any significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks could lead to traders adjusting their positions in this market.