TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover a range of possible point differentials, allowing participants to bet on various margins of victory for either team in the latter half of the game.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Boise State vs Fresno State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold in the second half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation with the NCAA is implied, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the result. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering value for informed bettors who compare the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price rises, reflecting increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boise St. or Fresno St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the spread.