TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between Bochum and Mainz, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regular time.
The event evaluates different margins of victory in the Bochum vs Mainz DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 27, 2026. Four distinct outcome scenarios are considered: Bochum winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bochum winning by more than 1.5 goals, Mainz winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Mainz winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases explicitly excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows participants to directly bet against each other. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets often adjusting more rapidly to new information and potentially offering a more refined probability assessment of the Bochum vs Mainz match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bochum vs Mainz match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome – the spread – was correctly predicted by traders on Kalshi. The final price of the contracts will reflect the accuracy of the market’s collective prediction, and winning traders will receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive trading activity. Weather conditions on the day of the Bochum vs Mainz match could also play a role, as could any late-breaking information about team morale or strategic adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market fluctuations.