TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between Bochum and Mainz. Bettors can speculate on whether Bochum, Mainz, or a tied result will occur within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the game. The resolution depends strictly on the result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Bochum vs Mainz professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets exist: one for a Bochum win, one for a Mainz win, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for those looking to identify potential value in either market, but remember this market represents the views of traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes of the Bochum vs Mainz match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bochum vs Mainz match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that might influence the final outcome and the market’s settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Unexpected announcements from team management or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Kalshi could create momentum and drive price fluctuations, potentially leading to substantial shifts in the market’s overall direction.