TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 1 at 9:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different goal-count thresholds and resolution mechanics for over/under markets. Kalshi offers 8 distinct over/under breakpoints (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), while Polymarket offers 4 breakpoints (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) with a critical difference: Polymarket adds 1 goal to the winning team's score in shootout scenarios, whereas Kalshi's resolution rules do not explicitly address shootout scoring adjustments.Hero Tip:
If the game goes to a shootout, your resolution outcome may differ between platforms. On Polymarket, one goal is added to the winner's total for settlement purposes; Kalshi does not specify this adjustment. Additionally, Kalshi offers finer granularity (2.5 and 3.5 thresholds) not available on Polymarket, so arbitrage opportunities exist at those levels. Verify the final score source (NHL.com) and confirm shootout handling before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 8 over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if the combined total exceeds the stated threshold. Kalshi's resolution rules do not explicitly address shootout goal adjustments: 'If over X.5 total combined goals are scored in the St. Louis vs Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 4 over/under markets at thresholds 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals, plus a moneyline (Blues vs. Kings) and a spread (Kings -1.5). Polymarket explicitly adjusts shootout scoring: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.' Polymarket also includes a postponement rule (market remains open) and a cancellation rule (50-50 resolution if no make-up game).
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