TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blues vs. Flames
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 18 at 9:30PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event types: Kalshi settles on game winner (moneyline), while Polymarket offers multiple markets including moneyline, spread, and over/under totals. The platforms do not directly contradict each other, but they cover different aspects of the same game with no overlap in market structure.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on who wins the game (Blues or Flames). On Polymarket, you have granular options: you can bet on the winner, the margin of victory (spread), or total goals scored (over/under). Your Kalshi YES resolves if either team wins; your Polymarket Blues bet resolves only if Blues win. These are compatible but distinct market designs — choose Polymarket if you want to express a view on score margins or total goals, and Kalshi if you only care about the winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary moneyline market that resolves YES if either the Flames or Blues wins the game. The market states 'If CGY Flames wins the St. Louis at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If STL Blues wins the St. Louis at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a winner-take-all structure with no granularity on margin or total scoring.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate markets covering moneyline (Blues vs. Flames), two spread markets (Blues -1.5, Flames -1.5), and three over/under total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Each market has its own resolution threshold and logic. For example, the moneyline resolves to 'Blues' if Blues win or 'Flames' if Flames win, while the spread markets resolve based on margin of victory (2+ goals), and the over/under markets resolve based on combined goals scored.
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