TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets related to a single NHL game between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Minnesota Wild on October 18th. Markets include a winner-takes-all prediction and over/under goals predictions at various thresholds.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00PM ET: If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00PM ET: If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where participants directly buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as they reflect a broader range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, prediction markets *are* public sentiment. This market’s odds may therefore offer a different perspective than those offered by conventional sportsbooks.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders with access to specialized information, while Predict might have a broader, less experienced user base. Differences in trading fees, market-making activity, and liquidity can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way information is disseminated and interpreted can vary between the two platforms, leading to differing expectations about the outcome of the Blue Jackets vs. Wild game.