TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET: If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on goal-differential thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution metrics for the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, your outcome depends on margin of victory (1.5 or 2.5 goals); if you bet on Polymarket, your outcome depends on which team wins outright or the combined goal total. A 2-1 Red Wings win resolves YES on Kalshi (over 1.5 margin) but resolves to 'Red Wings' on Polymarket's moneyline—different market types entirely. Ensure your position matches the settlement metric you intend.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Settles exclusively on goal-differential thresholds. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 goals OR more than 2.5 goals. Key quote: 'If Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals' or 'If Columbus wins by over 2.5 goals'—no moneyline or total-goals markets.
- Polymarket: Outlier: Settles on three distinct metrics: (1) moneyline winner (Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings), (2) over/under combined goals at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds, and (3) spread markets at -1.5 goal margin. Key quote: 'If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to Blue Jackets' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blue Jackets and Red Wings combine to score 5 or more goals'—covers winner, totals, and spreads.
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