TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
Volume:
$797,562
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Columbus Blue Jackets and Tampa Bay Lightning scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on the Lightning (-1.5). The group tests consistency in game outcome resolution across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Blue Jackets win and Lightning win are mapped to 'Yes', making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, O/U, spread) are safe to trade and use NHL.com as the authoritative source. Confirm with Kalshi whether the Lightning outcome should resolve to 'No'.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Blue Jackets' if CBJ wins or 'Lightning' if TB wins. All markets (moneyline, O/U 4.5/5.5/6.5/7.5, spread -1.5) use NHL.com as source. Shootout rule: one goal added to winning team's score. Cancellation: 50-50 split. Postponement: market remains open until completion.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states 'If CBJ wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If TB wins...resolves to Yes'—both outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating a logical impossibility for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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