On March 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the Columbus Blue Jackets will play the Philadelphia Flyers in an NHL regular season game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes including moneyline (winner), total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread betting (win margins of 1.5+ and 2.5+ goals). All resolution depends on the final official NHL score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal credited to the shootout winner for total-goals purposes).
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner, total goals, and spread outcomes. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes: Kalshi focuses exclusively on blowout margins, whereas Polymarket covers winner, totals, and spread across multiple markets.
Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you only win if Columbus or Philadelphia wins by a large margin (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals). On Polymarket, you can bet on the outright winner, total goals scored, or the spread independently. A close game (1-goal margin) resolves YES on Polymarket's moneyline but NO on all four Kalshi markets. Ensure your bet aligns with your actual prediction: margin-based (Kalshi) or outcome-based (Polymarket).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES only if Columbus wins by over 1.5 goals, Columbus wins by over 2.5 goals, Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals, or Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals. All four markets require a margin-of-victory threshold; a 1-goal win resolves NO on all Kalshi markets. Key quote: 'If Columbus wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate markets covering moneyline (Blue Jackets vs. Flyers winner), three total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread market (Blue Jackets -1.5). The moneyline resolves to the outright winner regardless of margin; totals resolve on combined goals; the spread resolves YES if Blue Jackets win by 2+ goals. Key quote: 'If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to Blue Jackets. If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to Flyers' and 'This market will resolve to Blue Jackets if the Blue Jackets win the game by 2 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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