TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Blooming and Independiente Petrolero in Bolivia's top division. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the associated team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends level after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on information and insights not necessarily captured by traditional oddsmakers. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities on Kalshi diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero match. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, offering a real-time indication of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, effectively creating a self-regulating system for determining probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform relies on publicly available and verified information to determine the final result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes leading up to the Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero match would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment.