TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Blackpool and Mansfield, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Blackpool or Mansfield wins the match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Blackpool winning by more than 2.5 goals, Blackpool winning by more than 1.5 goals, Mansfield winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Mansfield winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution exclusively considers the standard match duration, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers and the insights of individuals actively predicting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's value or mispricing relative to the sportsbook's initial assessment of the Blackpool vs Mansfield match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions as they profit from correctly anticipating the final result. The current price represents the market's implied probability of the spread being as indicated, and this price will continue to evolve until the market resolves.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Blackpool vs Mansfield match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as this will trigger the settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Blackpool or Mansfield would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected news regarding weather conditions or referee appointments could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, potentially driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can impact trading activity and, consequently, the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.