TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blackhawks vs. Wild
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 19 at 7:30PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Wild win OR Blackhawks win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Blackhawks, Wild, or Over/Under on total goals), with proper cancellation rules. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: both teams winning cannot both resolve to YES. Polymarket's markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes and clear cancellation protocols. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If MIN Wild wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If CHI Blackhawks wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES, making this market unresolvable and untraditional.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides properly structured mutually exclusive outcomes. Winner market resolves to either 'Blackhawks' or 'Wild' (not both YES). Over/Under markets on total goals (7.5, 6.5, 5.5, 4.5) and spread market (Wild -1.5) all use clear thresholds with proper cancellation rules: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
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