TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers multiple markets related to a single NHL game between the Blackhawks and the Red Wings on October 29th. Markets include a straight win/loss outcome and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored. All markets specify handling for postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. The wisdom of the crowd tends to filter out noise and converge on a more realistic probability. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, especially when considering factors like public perception and betting limits. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of liquidity and market efficiency.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for this market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, which can influence their trading decisions. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform—currently $342,074—can impact price discovery. While Polymarket currently favors a particular outcome, Predict may reflect a different perspective based on its unique participant pool and trading dynamics. These variations are normal and contribute to a more robust overall prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected news regarding team performance could all shift market sentiment. Significant media coverage or public endorsements could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on the game schedule or venue could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.