TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blackhawks vs. Flyers
Volume:
$1,718,780
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the Chicago Blackhawks will face the Philadelphia Flyers in an NHL game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes on three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner, (2) total goals scored (over/under at multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin of victory (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal spreads). All resolution logic hinges on the final official NHL score, including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal wins), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner only, with separate over/under markets for total goals. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's spread markets, your outcome depends on margin of victory (e.g., Chicago wins by exactly 2 goals = YES). On Polymarket, only the winner matters for the moneyline; total goals are resolved separately. Ensure your bet aligns with whether you're predicting margin or just the winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves four separate markets based on goal margin thresholds. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by over 1.5 goals OR over 2.5 goals, creating overlapping coverage of margin-of-victory outcomes. Key quote: 'If Chicago wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves the moneyline market (Blackhawks vs. Flyers winner) independently from four separate over/under total-goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds). Winner is determined by final score only; total goals are a separate settlement dimension. Key quote: 'If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to Blackhawks. If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to Flyers' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blackhawks and Flyers combine to score 5 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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