TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Stoke wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Stoke wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 19h:52m:08s
$
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Blackburn and Stoke, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Blackburn versus Stoke EFL Championship match scheduled for November 3, 2026. Four distinct markets exist, each with a specific requirement for the winning team's margin of victory: Blackburn winning by more than 2.5 goals, Blackburn winning by more than 1.5 goals, Stoke winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Stoke winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market independently assesses whether the actual result meets its respective threshold, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, providing insights into the liquidity and confidence surrounding each potential result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Blackburn vs Stoke match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded score, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome and receive payouts accordingly after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Blackburn or Stoke would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or major news affecting team morale could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.