TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Blackburn and Cardiff. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event consists of multiple markets, each assessing whether the total goals scored in the Blackburn vs Cardiff EFL Championship match exceed successive half-goal thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals from both teams must surpass its respective threshold within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body’s official match result, recognized by the EFL Championship, serves as the definitive source for determining outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Blackburn vs Cardiff match. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and spread indicate the level of agreement or disagreement among participants, providing insight into the perceived uncertainty surrounding the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Blackburn vs Cardiff match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authority. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall into a specific range, as defined by the available contracts on Kalshi. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Blackburn or Cardiff would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor high or low-scoring games, could also impact predictions. Team form and recent performance, as well as any tactical adjustments announced by the managers, are other potential catalysts. Even public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can influence traders’ beliefs and drive price movements.