TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Blackburn and Cardiff in the EFL Championship league. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Blackburn vs Cardiff professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Blackburn wins, the 'Blackburn' market resolves to Yes. If Cardiff wins, the 'Cardiff' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within regular time and stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the Blackburn vs Cardiff match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Blackburn will win, they’ll buy ‘Blackburn win’ contracts, driving up the price and indicating a higher probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Blackburn vs Cardiff match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Blackburn or Cardiff would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or managerial decisions could impact trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.