TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming Rainbow Six Siege match between Black Dragons e-Sports and FaZe Clan. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the South America League Stage 2 2026. The event reflects competitive gaming where each map can determine early momentum and strategy.
The market resolves based on the result of map 1 in the Black Dragons e-Sports versus FaZe Clan Rainbow Six Siege match scheduled for October 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the specified map, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, it’s important to note that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic environment. This means the odds aren’t fixed but rather evolve based on supply and demand from traders actively participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 1 in the Black Dragons e-Sports versus FaZe Clan CS2 match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Black Dragons e-Sports or FaZe Clan could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of team strength. In-game performance during the early rounds of the match itself, if available, could also cause rapid price adjustments. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 1 has the potential to move this market.