TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Birmingham and QPR. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Birmingham vs QPR EFL Championship match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any given market, if the total goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalty shootouts—exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, as the collective wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi may weigh factors differently than a sportsbook's modeling. It's common to see this market reflect information not yet fully priced into traditional odds, such as subtle team news or changes in player form, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind those prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Birmingham vs QPR match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The market will settle based on the confirmed number of goals scored during regulation time plus any added time, as per standard soccer rules. No additional information about the resolution process is available.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Birmingham or QPR would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements, particularly if they involve star players, are also likely to move the market. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts could shift expectations and influence trading activity in this market.