TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL Championship soccer match between Birmingham and QPR, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the loser at the end of regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Birmingham and QPR in their scheduled EFL Championship match on October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Birmingham winning by more than 2.5 goals, Birmingham winning by more than 1.5 goals, QPR winning by more than 1.5 goals, or QPR winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market resolving to 'Yes' if that specific condition is met. Regular time, including stoppage time, determines the result; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people interpret the same data in unique ways. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time indication of sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Birmingham vs QPR match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, including any potential adjustments due to unforeseen circumstances. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on the verified outcome, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Key events include team news such as injuries or suspensions to star players, changes in managerial tactics, or significant shifts in team form. Unexpected results in other matches that affect the league standings could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, any publicly released information regarding player fitness, team morale, or potential strategic adjustments could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market.