TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, where each aims to score goals during the regular playing time, including any additional minutes added at the end of the match. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the net at least once within this timeframe. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of both sides in a single, decisive encounter.
If Birmingham and QPR both score a goal in the Birmingham vs QPR EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing environment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Birmingham and QPR score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the settlement of all contracts associated with this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Birmingham or QPR would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or defensively solid performances, could also shift market sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially impacting the style of play, could play a role. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed shortly before kickoff are other catalysts that could move the market.