TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting whether a specific number of goals will be scored in a soccer match between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC. The outcome depends on the total goals scored by both teams within the regulation time of the game.
The event determines if the total goals scored by both teams in the Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC USL Championship match on Oct 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals surpass that threshold. The rules consistently apply to the official match duration and scoring conditions, with all markets sharing the same foundational criteria but varying in the required goal count for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or information asymmetry. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential for various goal totals in the Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match – including any own goals and excluding penalty shootouts – will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Birmingham Legion or Loudoun United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information related to team morale or recent performance could influence how traders assess the probability of different total goal outcomes.