TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the soccer match between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC. The outcome is determined by which team wins and by how many goals they win, considering only the regulation time of the match.
The event assesses whether Birmingham Legion FC or Loudoun United FC achieves a win by a specified goal margin in their USL Championship match on Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Two sets of markets exist: one for Birmingham Legion FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and another for Loudoun United FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the stated team secures a victory exceeding the designated goal differential, with all rules uniformly referencing the same match timeframe and win-margin criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, such as team statistics and player injuries. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of individuals trading contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United match as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official results to understand the final outcome and ensure accurate settlement of their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Birmingham Legion or Loudoun United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, and any pre-game analysis from sports commentators or analysts, could also impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.