TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Birmingham Legion FC" if Birmingham Legion FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Loudoun United FC" if Loudoun United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Birmingham Legion FC" if Birmingham Legion FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Loudoun United FC" if Loudoun United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the Birmingham Legion vs. Loudoun United match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price and probability. This creates a dynamic and responsive market that reflects the evolving expectations of traders regarding the Birmingham Legion vs. Loudoun United match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—the Birmingham Legion or Loudoun United—scores the first goal in the match. The official game records will serve as the basis for verifying the result. Any potential disputes will be assessed based on the official match data available after the game concludes. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the first goalscorer to understand when this market is settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Birmingham Legion or Loudoun United would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the coaches, might prompt adjustments in predictions. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.