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410,482

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5

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Birmingham Legion FC vs. Loudoun United FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Birmingham Legion FC vs Loudoun United FC?

Volume:
$27,507

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,430
N/A
N/A
$13,561
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Birmingham Legion FC vs. Loudoun United FC)

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Birmingham Legion FC

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,774
N/A
N/A
$5,767
Settled
No
polymarket

Birmingham Legion FC

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Loudoun United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,850
N/A
N/A
$3,284
Settled
No
polymarket

Loudoun United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC on October 18, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win, or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution of 'No' outcomes differs for canceled games between Kalshi and Polymarket.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket will resolve win markets to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi resolves the 'Tie' market to 'Yes' and win markets to 'No'. This creates a potential arbitrage opportunity or risk depending on your positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No" for win/draw markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market resolves to Yes for the 'Tie' market and No for the win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Birmingham Legion FC and Loudoun United FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Birmingham Legion FC versus Loudoun United FC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Birmingham Legion FC, a win for Loudoun United FC, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation time result, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying situations where one offers a more favorable price than the other. The current volume of $27,507 suggests active trading and price discovery.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to a variety of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price formation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differing liquidity levels can create temporary price discrepancies; a larger volume on one platform may lead to more accurate price discovery. The types of traders participating on each platform also play a role – some may be more sophisticated or have access to different information. Currently, these differences are visible in the probabilities assigned to various outcomes for the Birmingham Legion vs. Loudoun United match.