TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:11h:55m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Birmingham City winning, Swansea City winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets focus on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Birmingham vs Swansea professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There are three possible outcomes: Birmingham win, Swansea win, or a tie. If either team wins within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This market, in particular, benefits from the wisdom of the crowd, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks may also incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, whereas prediction markets are continuously updated by participants actively trading on their insights.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to variations in user base, trading fees, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-07? at 48.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Birmingham wins at 51.0%. Different traders may participate on each platform, bringing unique information and perspectives. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Lower volume on one platform can also lead to greater price volatility and divergence from the other.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Birmingham City vs. Swansea City match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result, as this will be used to settle this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Birmingham City or Swansea City would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or managerial decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant external factors, like adverse weather conditions impacting the match, could lead to adjustments in the predicted outcome of the Birmingham City vs. Swansea City match.