TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Birmingham City FC vs Swansea City AFC?

Total volume:
$2
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$4,138
3%
Open interest:
$2
0%

Birmingham

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:11h:55m

Birmingham wins

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Birmingham

Trade
51%
Yes 50¢No 55¢
5¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
4d 11h 55m
Active
polymarket

Birmingham City FC

48%
Yes 51¢No 55¢
6¢
$1,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51%
Yes 50¢No 55¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Draw (Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC)

28%
1%
Yes 31¢No 76¢
7¢
$1,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 55m
Active
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 7¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Swansea City AFC

27%
Yes 31¢No 77¢
8¢
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 55m
Active
kalshi

Swansea

N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Birmingham City winning, Swansea City winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets focus on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi lacks this provision.Hero tip: Polymarket offers a slight edge in scenarios where cancellation is a plausible outcome. Kalshi's markets are more exposed to cancellation risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled, win/loss markets resolve to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (EFL.com, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is stated. Relies on the game being completed to determine a winner or draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Birmingham vs Swansea professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There are three possible outcomes: Birmingham win, Swansea win, or a tie. If either team wins within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Birmingham City vs. Swansea City match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how predictions are evolving in real-time and compare sentiment across different prediction markets. The dashboard displays the probabilities assigned to various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. It provides a comprehensive overview of the market’s expectations for this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This market, in particular, benefits from the wisdom of the crowd, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks may also incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, whereas prediction markets are continuously updated by participants actively trading on their insights.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to variations in user base, trading fees, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-07? at 48.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Birmingham wins at 51.0%. Different traders may participate on each platform, bringing unique information and perspectives. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Lower volume on one platform can also lead to greater price volatility and divergence from the other.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Birmingham City vs. Swansea City match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result, as this will be used to settle this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Birmingham City or Swansea City would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or managerial decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant external factors, like adverse weather conditions impacting the match, could lead to adjustments in the predicted outcome of the Birmingham City vs. Swansea City match.