TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Birmingham City FC and Queens Park Rangers FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Birmingham City FC" if Birmingham City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Queens Park Rangers FC" if Queens Park Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Birmingham City FC and Queens Park Rangers FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Birmingham City FC" if Birmingham City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Queens Park Rangers FC" if Queens Park Rangers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – Birmingham City, Queens Park Rangers, or neither team scoring first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share fluctuates, reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share priced at 40 means there is a 40% implied probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Birmingham City vs. Queens Park Rangers match. If neither team scores during the match, the 'Neither team to score first' outcome will be considered the result. The outcome will be determined based on official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Birmingham City or Queens Park Rangers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also affect traders' perceptions and lead to price movements. Any significant news or updates related to the teams or the match itself could trigger increased volume and volatility in this market.