TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:20 AM EST
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different player prop outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final player statistics from the Bills-Rams game are verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on officially recorded player statistics—such as passing yards, rushing attempts, or touchdowns—as reported by official league sources. The specific statistics used to determine the outcome for each player prop will be defined within the market’s details on Polymarket. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Significant media coverage or expert analysis highlighting a particular player’s potential performance could also drive volume and price movements. Unexpected developments in pre-game warmups or even early game events could also lead to rapid shifts in the market as traders react to new information.