TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bilibili Gaming: 15+
- Kalshi
Bilibili Gaming: 15+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:04h:06m
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This event tracks whether specific teams achieve a minimum number of champion kills in a particular game of an esports match. The outcome depends on the performance of each team during the gameplay, with clear criteria for what counts as a successful kill. The event is part of a larger tournament and follows standard competitive gaming rules.
The event resolves based on whether Bilibili Gaming records at least 15 champion kills or Dplus KIA records at least 12 champion kills in Game 3 of the Worlds 2026 match scheduled for November 5, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST. If the match or game is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are published, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the game begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, the market resolves based on officially recorded statistics up to the point of interruption, voided play excluded. No official statistics available results in resolution at the last fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect changing expectations. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the strength of conviction behind those expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the total kills in this League of Legends match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of kills achieved by both Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in Game 3 of their League of Legends series will be used to determine the winning outcome. The data will be sourced from official League of Legends match statistics and verified against reliable esports news outlets. The market will settle based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Bilibili Gaming or Dplus KIA could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected drafts during the match, early game advantages, or significant individual player performances could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, broader esports news or upsets in other concurrent tournaments might indirectly affect confidence in either team, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.