TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bilibili Gaming: 7+
- Kalshi
Bilibili Gaming: 7+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:18h:39m
$
This event tracks the performance of two professional League of Legends teams in a specific match, focusing on how many towers each team destroys during the first game. The outcome depends on whether either team meets a predefined threshold of tower kills. The event is part of a high-stakes international tournament, reflecting strategic gameplay and team execution under pressure.
If Bilibili Gaming records 7+ tower kills in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: Bilibili Gaming vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dplus KIA records 6+ tower kills in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: Bilibili Gaming vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the odds here can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as the event approaches and volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, meaning increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This creates an environment where participants can express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final tower kill count in Game 1 of the Bilibili Gaming versus Dplus KIA match will be used to determine the winning contract. The data will be sourced from official League of Legends match statistics and verified for accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual tower kill count will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Bilibili Gaming or Dplus KIA could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about patch updates or meta shifts in League of Legends could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in preceding matches, or even in warm-up games leading up to the event, might impact trader sentiment and drive price movements. Increased volume in the final hours before the match is also typical as traders adjust their positions.