TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Bilbao and Getafe will be judged based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals reach specific thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Bilbao vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any mispricing.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Bilbao vs Getafe match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall into one of the predefined outcome ranges, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bilbao or Getafe would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact expectations. Unexpected news about referee assignments or potential controversies could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could shift prices, and general sentiment surrounding the teams’ attacking capabilities could influence trading activity.