TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event refers to a soccer match where two teams compete against each other. The outcome of interest is whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular time of the match, including any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Bilbao and Getafe both score a goal in the Bilbao vs Getafe La Liga match originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, attracting traders to exploit the difference. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information becomes available and public opinion solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Bilbao vs Getafe match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic market that reflects collective intelligence. Higher demand for contracts indicating 'Yes' (both teams to score) will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Bilbao and Getafe score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from reputable sports sources will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official scoreline recorded at the end of regulation time, with any extra time or penalty shootouts not considered for this market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bilbao or Getafe would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also catalysts. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could lead to changes in volume and price on Kalshi.